So, for my job I do quite a bit of reading about “the future
of work” and I have some opinions about how some emerging management challenges
that future implies. Now the key feature of work in this future, which has been
coming at us, really, since the start of the industrial revolution, is automation. Continual progress in labor-saving devices, increasing productivity, allowing
us to all enjoy a higher standard of living (at least in the long-run). And the
ultimate in saving labor, of course, is automation, performing a task without
any human input at all. This has been the trend since steam-power replaced
muscle power. As time goes on, the easiest jobs to automate are automated away,
and humans do more work that’s difficult or impossible to automate.
What’s easy to automate? Machines excel at routine and
predictable tasks – anything that can be fully described in formal, logical, precise
terms (“if this do that”) or are totally repetitive (“every 1.74 seconds swing
downward with between 1000 and 1050 kiloNewtons of force) is, bluntly, a job perfectly
suited for machines – and a job that will be automated away as soon as economical.
But sorting good art from bad, understanding spoken language, driving a car –
any sort of work that might at any point require a modicum of actual
thought (which is quite a bit of “unskilled labor” in the service
sector) is difficult or impossible to automate completely. Answering a question
like “is this a good investment” is something only a human can do, even as that
human uses (hopefully!) a variety of sophisticated machines to help them make
that decision.
Why is all this a problem for management? Because the work that’s
being automated away is also the work that’s easiest to manage. Evaluating
performance is easy for predictable and routine tasks, observing effort is
straightforward when the work takes place almost entirely outside a worker’s
head. Traditional management techniques and organizational structures are well
suited to incentivizing effort (using Motivation 1.0 and 2.0, for those of you who’ve
read a certain book) and evaluating performance.
But increasingly, more and more work will take involve
complicated tasks that are costly or difficult to monitor, and more of that
work will take place inside people’s
heads. This isn’t an insurmountable problem, but managers will have to lean
increasingly on intrinsic motivation (Motivation 3.0) in order to accommodate this.
And bluntly, I don’t think business leaders (or at least American business
leaders) are able or willing to deal with this problem. Grappling with this
problem requires a (in the American context) radical rethink of
employer-employee relations; conceiving of an employment relationship a social
as well as economic relationship. The fundamental human in human relationships
is reciprocity – why should workers be loyal to your company and emotionally
invested in its success, if the company doesn’t feel the same way about them?
The alternative response is for management to spend whatever
it takes on monitoring in order to
avoid giving up any sort of control over workers
and the workplace – even if it would be costlier.
Hopefully profits are more
important to capitalists than power.
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